Millions of Chinese traveling in
neighboring Asian regions are taking the Chinese Renminbi
(RMB) with them, using the currency as a means of payment, as
it enjoys a status never credited it before -- a strong
currency.
Last year, nearly three million well-off Chinese packed up
to travel to places outside China, some as far as western
Europe, Australia, Egypt, and the Maldives in South Asia.
Prior to this year's seven-day Spring Festival holiday,
when many Chinese chose to travel overseas, stores in the
shopping districts of downtown Hong Kong declared they would
accept the RMB for payment, hoping it would stimulate the
consumption of hundreds of thousands of mainland Chinese
tourists arriving in Hong Kong.
Zhang Fan, a clerk who has worked many years in Hong Kong,
said most shopping districts in the city now welcome the RMB,
and some drug stores even put up a sign saying "One RMB yuan
equals one Hong Kong dollar." The official conversion rate for
Hong Kong dollar to RMB is about 100:106.
Statistics show that Hong Kong now has a reserve of RMB
notes worth more than 50 billion yuan (US$6 billion).
In Vietnam's Ha Tuyen province, which borders southwest
China's Yunnan Province, Chinese travelers could use the RMB
freely to buy goods like fruits, bottled mineral water and
various kinds of souvenirs.
The Myanmar government recently raised its customs
duty-free ceiling to 5,000 yuan (US$602), in an attempt to
attract more Chinese tourists to visit the country.
Even in economically underdeveloped Mongolia, the RMB is
also circulating on markets in the capital Ulan Bator as
imports of China-made commodities are rising. In some hotels,
the RMB is accepted.
Although an increasing number of Chinese travel abroad,
fewer conversion trades have been reported with foreign
exchange authorities at home. Usually Chinese going abroad
have to buy foreign currencies for use overseas.
In Chongqing, the booming municipality in west China,
40,000 local residents traveled overseas in 2002, but they
only bought less than US$500,000 for their trip. In the
previous years, some 31,000 local residents traveling overseas
bought US$12.4 million in foreign currencies, according to the
city foreign exchange administration.
But it was a quite different story in the early 1990s when
traveling abroad began to be easier and individuals had a
chance to purchase foreign currencies. Most people bought
foreign currencies at the exchange administration and tried to
save as much the foreign money as possible as inflation
protection.
The acceptance of the RMB in neighboring countries and
regions means a lift in the currency's credit and its
promotion as a strong currency in Asia, indicated officials
with the Chongqing office of the State Administration of
Foreign Exchange.
Economists also attributed the elevation to growing direct
investment by Chinese enterprises in surrounding countries and
regions, which helped increase RMB circulation.
Chinese enterprises in areas bordering Southeast Asia have
eyed lucrative markets there, and looking beyond merely
promoting their products on local markets, they have also
invested in building factories in Vietnam, Indonesia and other
countries in the region.
Analysts said the Chinese RMB's steadfastness during the
financial crisis that swept Asia in 1997, dragging down the
world economy, transformed it from a weak currency into a
tower of strength in the economic storm.
It is natural that a strong economy would prop up a strong
currency, analysts noted.
Last year, China's GDP exceeded 10 trillion yuan (US$1.2
trillion) and its foreign currency reserve reached US$280
billion, ranking second in the world, which will ensure the
stability of the RMB.
Experts say that, on the basis of the present growth rate,
China's share in the global economy is expected to rise from
3.7 percent in 2000 to 8 percent in 2020, and is likely to
become the world's second largest economic power by 2030.
During the financial crisis, China maintained its policy of
not devaluating the RMB, and a stable Chinese currency helped
the neighboring countries survive the hardship and made room
for their exports as their own currencies depreciated sharply.
China's new Premier Wen Jiabao said recently that a strong
and stable RMB would benefit Asia and the world at large.
Sun Jie, an economist at the International Finance Center
under the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said RMB
circulation in neighboring countries was the first step to its
acceptance globally, but there is still a long road ahead
before the RMB becomes one of the world's leading currencies.
Analysts noted that the on-going Iraq war has produced
negative effects on China's economy, and the RMB has been
under increasing pressure to appreciate.
Gao Huiqing, an expert at the development research
department under the State Information Center, warned that
once the RMB was forced to appreciate by a big margin, the
Chinese economy would suffer much as Japan's did, and fall
into recession.
Many economists shared the consensus that keeping the RMB's
conversion rate in a comparatively long period of time will be
beneficial not only to China's economic growth, but also to
other Asian economies.